Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2506.645083 2713.819669 2923.703397 3151.951013 3392.866310 3639.293903 3910.107277
2025-02-09 2158.452754 2465.426949 2788.132200 3151.494577 3548.066645 3966.597970 4440.526463
2025-02-16 1918.017612 2281.560512 2674.455796 3128.243364 3635.487661 4182.667770 4815.143886
2025-02-23 1770.304854 2178.552761 2629.982497 3162.263246 3768.724454 4434.299948 5215.997552
2025-03-02 1627.445420 2066.434618 2562.124515 3157.564305 3847.585198 4616.377401 5531.855980
2025-03-09 1535.747813 2004.857451 2544.393935 3203.038800 3977.463269 4851.386730 5904.173528
2025-03-16 1416.672485 1902.001638 2470.588359 3175.867642 4016.989676 4978.001491 6148.643859
2025-03-23 1361.008123 1871.395091 2478.733452 3242.191050 4163.449207 5226.740985 6533.724925
2025-03-30 1286.165939 1812.073182 2447.846793 3257.803287 4246.633914 5399.366807 6828.862848
2025-04-06 1212.163457 1749.314726 2408.810459 3259.942865 4310.741795 5547.419201 7093.885061
2025-04-13 1101.583990 1633.735992 2298.610972 3169.185358 4257.375128 5551.483848 7184.564452
2025-04-20 1082.969245 1636.860728 2337.288130 3263.516154 4431.016010 5829.210870 7604.404636
2025-04-27 1049.505024 1619.474336 2349.733971 3325.741421 4567.068571 6064.803293 7978.651830
2025-05-04 991.580708 1566.333341 2313.635143 3324.318507 4622.540281 6201.787479 8234.016082
2025-05-11 929.002660 1503.539753 2261.967067 3300.160199 4647.141924 6299.224101 8440.144117
2025-05-18 893.844866 1477.073881 2256.982866 3335.525231 4746.651358 6489.290942 8760.724681
2025-05-25 846.196619 1430.479206 2222.821552 3330.640712 4793.117079 6612.334088 8998.180216
2025-06-01 820.368526 1413.941276 2228.494292 3377.907988 4906.680810 6819.858472 9341.681525
2025-06-08 770.103888 1359.193730 2179.369579 3349.666493 4920.234077 6899.891490 9525.096593
2025-06-15 755.479431 1356.575917 2202.254556 3418.598125 5061.412947 7142.700806 9914.416041
2025-06-22 724.612218 1327.955029 2187.285693 3434.822166 5132.296232 7295.514666 10190.448897
2025-06-29 691.136508 1293.747076 2163.001814 3437.045526 5183.721533 7422.949584 10434.422965
2025-07-06 630.623652 1214.543654 2071.210424 3342.720589 5103.249506 7377.830483 10456.478090